Abstract
Background: Cancer antigen 125 (CA125) is used to monitor tumor burden among patients with advanced serous epithelial ovarian cancer. The purpose is to compare the monitoring performance of seven previously proposed criteria. Materials & methods: The CA125 assessment criteria were applied to simulated datasets. We investigated the ability to provide information on CA125 increments as well as their robustness against false positive signals. Results: For baseline concentrations above cut-off, the best performing criterion was based on a confirmed increment ≥2.5-times the nadir concentration. For baseline concentrations below cut-off, the best performing criterion was based on a confirmed increment from ≤ cut-off to >two-times cut-off. Discussion: Computer simulation models may be useful for a preclinical validation of criteria to be investigated in clinical trials.
References
- 1 . Detection and monitoring of ovarian cancer. Clin. Chim. Acta 415, 341–345 (2013).
- 2 Savings obtained by CA-125 measurements during therapy for ovarian carcinoma. The North Thames Ovary Group. Eur. J. Cancer 28(1), 79–82 (1992).
- 3 . Tumour markers for ovarian cancer. Eur. J. Cancer 28(1), 2–3 (1992).
- 4 Defining progression of ovarian carcinoma during follow-up according to CA 125: a North Thames Ovary Group Study. Ann. Oncol. 7(4), 361–364 (1996).
- 5 Use of CA-125 to define progression of ovarian cancer in patients with persistently elevated levels. J. Clin. Oncol. 19(20), 4054–4057 (2001).
- 6 Use of CA-125 in clinical trial evaluation of new therapeutic drugs for ovarian cancer. Clin. Cancer Res. 10(11), 3919–3926 (2004).
- 7 Re: new guidelines to evaluate the response to treatment in solid tumors (ovarian cancer). J. Natl Cancer Inst. 96(6), 487–488 (2004).
- 8 Comparison of CA-125 and standard definitions of progression of ovarian cancer in the intergroup trial of cisplatin and paclitaxel versus cisplatin and cyclophosphamide. J. Clin. Oncol. 24(1), 45–51 (2006).
- 9 Early versus delayed treatment of relapsed ovarian cancer (MRC OV05/EORTC 55955): a randomised trial. Lancet 376(9747), 1155–1163 (2010).
- 10 Definitions for response and progression in ovarian cancer clinical trials incorporating RECIST 1.1 and CA 125 agreed by the Gynecological Cancer Intergroup (GCIG). Int. J. Gynecol. Cancer 21(2), 419–423 (2011).
- 11 . Follow-up with CA125 after primary therapy of advanced ovarian cancer has major implications for treatment outcome and trial performances and should not be routinely performed. Ann. Oncol. 22(Suppl. 8), viii45–viii48 (2011).
- 12 . Serum tumour marker CA 125 in monitoring of ovarian cancer during first-line chemotherapy. Br. J. Cancer 84(10), 1301–1307 (2001).
- 13 . Serum tumor marker CA 125 for monitoring ovarian cancer during follow-up. Scand. J. Clin. Lab. Invest. 62(3), 177–188 (2002).
- 14 Clinical trials in recurrent ovarian cancer. Int. J. Gynecol. Cancer 21(4), 771–775 (2011).
- 15 . Computer-simulated tumor-marker data used to compare progression criteria for cytokeratin tissue polypeptide antigen in metastatic breast cancer. Clin. Chem. 47(11), 2035–2037 (2001).
- 16 Interpretation of increments in serial tumour biomarker concentrations depends on the distance of the baseline concentration from the cut-off. Clin. Chem. Lab. Med. 49(2), 303–310 (2011).
- 17 Criteria to interpret cancer biomarker increments crossing the recommended cut-off compared in a simulation model focusing on false positive signals and tumour detection time. Clin. Chim. Acta 431, 192–197 (2014).
- 18 Calculation of limits for significant unidirectional changes in two or more serial results of a biomarker based on a computer simulation model. Ann. Clin. Biochem. 52(Pt 2), 237–244 (2014).
- 19 Monitoring human ovarian carcinoma with a combination of CA 125, CA 19–9, and carcinoembryonic antigen. Am. J. Obstet. Gynecol. 149(5), 553–559 (1984).
- 20 Assessment of biological variation and analytical imprecision of CA 125, CEA, and TPA in relation to monitoring of ovarian cancer. Gynecol. Oncol. 74(1), 12–22 (1999).
- 21 . Biological Variation: From Principles to Practice. AACC Press, Washington, DC, USA (2001).
- 22 Reference change values for brain natriuretic peptides revisited. Clin. Chem. 252(8), 1602–1603 (2006).
- 23 Doubling time of serum CA125 is an independent prognostic factor for survival in patients with ovarian cancer relapsing after first-line chemotherapy. Eur. J. Cancer 46(8), 1359–1364 (2010).
- 24 . Ovarian cancer screening: development of the risk of ovarian cancer algorithm (ROCA) and ROCA screening trials. Int. J. Gynecol. Cancer 22(Suppl. 1), S24–S26 (2012).